Portonovo SD vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Somozas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portonovo SD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portonovo SD vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Portonovo SD (1,740) and Somozas (1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portonovo SD vs Somozas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portonovo SD
Not enough data to predict the Portonovo SD lineup.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Portonovo SD have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Somozas have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Portonovo SD wins, 1 draw, 0 Somozas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Somozas 0-0 Portonovo SD | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Somozas vs Portonovo SD on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portonovo SD score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 10; Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portonovo SD | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
| Somozas | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portonovo SD sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (15 points from 10 matches) and Somozas sit 13th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portonovo SD | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Somozas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Portonovo SD vs Somozas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portonovo SD vs Somozas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Somozas.
- Where and when is Portonovo SD vs Somozas played?
- Portonovo SD vs Somozas is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.