Match

Barendrecht vs Katwijk: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht

BarendrechtKatwijk

The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barendrecht vs Katwijk?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,828) and Katwijk (1,903).

Barendrecht win38 %
Draw23 %
Katwijk win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barendrecht
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Koninklijke HFC(away)2-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026HHC(home)1-3Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(home)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026RKAV Volendam(away)2-5Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Hoek(home)4-2Tweede Divisie
Katwijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hoek(home)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Spakenburg(away)0-1Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(home)4-1Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Spakenburg(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)4-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Katwijk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Barendrecht 2-3 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Oct 25, 2025Katwijk 4-3 BarendrechtTweede Divisie
Feb 1, 2025Barendrecht 1-2 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Sep 7, 2024Katwijk 4-1 BarendrechtTweede Divisie
Apr 20, 2019Barendrecht 1-1 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Dec 1, 2018Katwijk 4-0 BarendrechtTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Katwijk on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barendrecht1.92.4112/1514/15
Katwijk2.11.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Barendrecht2101343
14Katwijk2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Katwijk?
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Barendrecht.
Where and when is Barendrecht vs Katwijk played?
Barendrecht vs Katwijk is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barendrecht and Katwijk

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