Barendrecht vs Katwijk: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Katwijk?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,828) and Katwijk (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Katwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Barendrecht 2-3 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Katwijk 4-3 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Barendrecht 1-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Katwijk 4-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Barendrecht 1-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Katwijk 4-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Katwijk on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Katwijk?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Barendrecht.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs Katwijk played?
- Barendrecht vs Katwijk is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026HoekvsSpakenburg
- Aug 29, 2026Quick BoysvsKloetinge
- Aug 29, 2026Kozakken BoysvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Aug 29, 2026Almere City IIvsKoninklijke HFC
- Aug 29, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsHHC
- Aug 29, 2026IjsselmeervogelsvsRKAV Volendam
- Aug 29, 2026AFC AmsterdamvsROHDA Raalte
- Aug 29, 2026De TreffersvsRijnsburgse Boys