Where and when is Hoek vs Spakenburg played?

Hoek vs Spakenburg is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hoek vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

Hoek

Spakenburg

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs Spakenburg?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Hoek (1,959) and Spakenburg (1,936).

Hoek win55 %

Draw22 %

Spakenburg win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

Spakenburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RKAV Volendam(away)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Katwijk(home)	1-0	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(away)	2-3	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Katwijk(home)	2-1	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	De Treffers(away)	0-0	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Spakenburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Hoek 1-1 Spakenburg	Tweede Divisie
Aug 30, 2025	Spakenburg 1-3 Hoek	Tweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Spakenburg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15
Spakenburg	1.8	1.3	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
9	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Spakenburg?: The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Spakenburg.
Where and when is Hoek vs Spakenburg played?: Hoek vs Spakenburg is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.