Bari vs Salernitana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bari vs Salernitana?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Bari (1,783) and Salernitana (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bari vs Salernitana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bari
4-3-1-2- 7K. Butić
- 24F. Bianchi
- 25G. Maggiore
- 5E. Darboe
- 21M. Della Morte
- 11A. Tribuzzi
- 79M. Elia
- 6V. Mogoș
- 72N. Cocetta
- 14M. Anzolin
- 31M. Cerofolini
Salernitana
3-5-2- 11E. D'Ursi
- 20A. La Gumina
- 16M. Llano
- 32M. Vitale
- 8M. Tascone
- 6K. de Boer
- 4E. Gyabuaa
- 73S. Pieraccini
- 5D. Celiento
- 33A. Anastasio
- 12C. Galeotti
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bari have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Salernitana have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bari win, 4 draws, 1 Salernitana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salernitana 2-1 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Bari 0-0 Salernitana | Serie B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Salernitana 0-2 Bari | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Bari 1-1 Salernitana | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Bari 1-1 Salernitana | Serie B |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Salernitana 2-2 Bari | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Salernitana | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bari sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone C (19 points from 9 matches) and Salernitana sit 9th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Bari vs Salernitana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bari vs Salernitana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Salernitana.
- Where and when is Bari vs Salernitana played?
- Bari vs Salernitana is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale San Nicola, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.