Match

Casarano vs Sorrento: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano

CasaranoSorrento

The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sorrento. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casarano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casarano vs Sorrento?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Casarano (1,833) and Sorrento (1,788).

46%27%27%
Casarano winDrawSorrento win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Casarano vs Sorrento

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Casarano

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Chiricò
  2. 11V. Ferrara
  3. 9F. Grandolfo
  1. 23G. Logoluso
  2. 17R. Maiello
  3. 21N. Zanellato
  1. 33M. Mercadante
  2. 2P. Ciotti
  3. 36E. Matino
  4. 3F. Giraudo
  1. 97A. Farroni

Sorrento

3-4-2-1
  1. 19A. Bolzan
  1. 28L. Capezzi
  2. 8M. Cuccurullo
  3. 3L. Crecco
  4. 21A. Potenza
  5. 23S. Cangianiello
  6. 99F. Marchesi
  1. 33A. Viscardi
  2. 27C. Loreto
  3. 32S. Paglino
  1. 22S. Harrasser

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sorrento have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casarano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cavese(away)2-5Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Salernitana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Sorrento(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026SS Monopoli(home)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Savoia(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Sorrento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Inter U23(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Scafatese(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Casarano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Foggia(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Casarano win, 2 draws, 3 Sorrento wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Sorrento 2-0 CasaranoSerie C - Girone C
Feb 7, 2026Casarano 2-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Sep 24, 2025Sorrento 3-3 CasaranoSerie C - Girone C
Apr 3, 2022Sorrento 3-0 CasaranoSerie D - Girone H
Nov 21, 2021Casarano 1-1 SorrentoSerie D - Girone H
Feb 16, 2020Sorrento 7-0 CasaranoSerie D - Girone H

Last archived meeting: Sorrento vs Casarano on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Casarano score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sorrento score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casarano1.01.645/156/15
Sorrento1.10.886/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Casarano sit 15th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 10 matches) and Sorrento sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sorrento10613141019
15Casarano10325121811

A question about Casarano vs Sorrento?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casarano vs Sorrento?
The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sorrento.
Where and when is Casarano vs Sorrento played?
Casarano vs Sorrento is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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