Barnet vs Grimsby: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Grimsby?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnet vs Grimsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barnet win, 2 draws, 3 Grimsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Grimsby 1-0 Barnet | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Barnet 3-0 Grimsby | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Barnet 2-2 Grimsby | National League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Grimsby 4-3 Barnet | National League |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Grimsby 2-2 Barnet | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Barnet 0-2 Grimsby | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnet sit 2nd in League Two (18 points from 8 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Barnet vs Grimsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Grimsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Grimsby played?
- Barnet vs Grimsby is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.