Oldham vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldham vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Oldham (1,778) and Newport County (1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oldham vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 7K. Appiah-Forson
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 14N. Chilvers
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 24L. Temple
- 3J. Robson
- 2G. Scott-Morriss
- 6E. Monthe
- 1M. Hudson
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Newport County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 4-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oldham wins, 1 draw, 3 Newport County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newport County 3-2 Oldham | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Oldham 3-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Newport County 2-0 Oldham | FA Cup |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Newport County 3-3 Oldham | League Two |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Oldham 0-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Oldham 3-2 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Oldham on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and Newport County sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Oldham vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Oldham vs Newport County played?
- Oldham vs Newport County is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.