Barnet vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Barnet (1,884) and Leyton Orient (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnet win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Barnet 2-0 Leyton Orient | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Barnet 0-0 Leyton Orient | National League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Leyton Orient 3-1 Barnet | National League |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Leyton Orient 1-3 Barnet | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Barnet 0-0 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Barnet 3-0 Leyton Orient | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Leyton Orient on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnet sit 3rd in EFL Trophy (5 points from 3 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Leyton Orient played?
- Barnet vs Leyton Orient is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.