Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,820) and Arsenal U21 (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal U21 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 4, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leyton Orient win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Leyton Orient 1-2 Arsenal U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 on Sep 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Arsenal U21 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 1st in EFL Trophy (9 points from 3 matches) and Arsenal U21 sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal U21.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 played?
- Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.