AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 6Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,334 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
AFC Wimbledon starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1- 9J. Stockley
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 33I. Ogundere
- 39J. Bursik
Arsenal U21
4-2-3-1- 9E. Mooney
- 10J. Scanlon
- 11A. Annous
- 6I. Ibrahim
- 7E. Nwaneri
- 17M. Hashi
- 2B. Clarke
- 3M. Washington
- 5Jaden Dixon
- 14J. Ogunnaike
- 1K. Ranson
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal U21 have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leicester City U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 2-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 AFC Wimbledon win, 0 draws, 0 Arsenal U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Arsenal U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21 on Dec 8, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal U21 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Arsenal U21 sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC WimbledonGroup 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21Group 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Arsenal U21.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21 played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21 is played on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.