Leicester vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Barnsley?
On Elo ratings, Leicester has 1,853 points and Barnsley 1,784.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
4-2-3-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 14B. De Cordova-Reid
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 5C. Okoli
- 29A. McCarthy
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leicester wins, 2 draws, 2 Barnsley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley 1-1 Leicester | League One |
| Mar 11, 2014 | Barnsley 0-3 Leicester | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Leicester 2-1 Barnsley | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2013 | Barnsley 2-0 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Leicester 2-2 Barnsley | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Leicester 1-2 Barnsley | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Leicester on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 17th in League One (9 points from 8 matches) and Barnsley sit 19th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Leicester vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Barnsley played?
- Leicester vs Barnsley is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.