Oxford United vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Oxford United (1,951) and Doncaster (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 23S. Dembélé
- 8C. Brannagan
- 4Kai Andrews
- 57M. Missanga
- 11T. Goodrham
- 3C. Brown
- 6M. Helik
- 15B. Spencer
- 26J. Currie
- 1J. Cumming
Doncaster
3-4-2-1- 9B. Hanlan
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 11L. Ayinde
- 8G. Broadbent
- 10A. May
- 21I. Hutchinson
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Doncaster have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oxford United wins, 1 draw, 2 Doncaster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2022 | Oxford United 1-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Dec 7, 2021 | Doncaster 1-2 Oxford United | League One |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Oxford United 3-0 Doncaster | League One |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Doncaster 3-2 Oxford United | League One |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Doncaster 1-0 Oxford United | League One |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Oxford United 3-0 Doncaster | League One |
Last archived meeting: Oxford United vs Doncaster on Apr 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Doncaster | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 7th in League One (19 points from 10 matches) and Doncaster sit 17th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Oxford United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 19 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Oxford United vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Doncaster played?
- Oxford United vs Doncaster is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.