Barnsley vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,791) and Mansfield Town (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Barnsley win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mansfield Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mansfield Town 2-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Barnsley 2-3 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mansfield Town 2-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Barnsley 1-2 Mansfield Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Barnsley on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Mansfield Town played?
- Barnsley vs Mansfield Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.