Barra Mansa vs Campos AA: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 1Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Leão do Sul, Barra Mansa, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Campos AA the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Barra Mansa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barra Mansa vs Campos AA?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Barra Mansa (1,555) and Campos AA (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barra Mansa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Campos AA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Búzios(home) | 0-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Búzios(away) | 0-3 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 2-2 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mageense(home) | 3-0 | Carioca C |
| May 31, 2026 | Barcelona RJ(away) | 2-0 | Carioca C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-4 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Uniao Central(away) | 0-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uni Souza(home) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | EC Resende(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Barra Mansa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Campos AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Campos AA 1-0 Barra Mansa | Carioca C |
Last archived meeting: Campos AA vs Barra Mansa on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barra Mansa score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Campos AA score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barra Mansa | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Campos AA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barra Mansa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barra Mansa vs Campos AA?
- The Footlab model makes Campos AA the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Barra Mansa.
- Where and when is Barra Mansa vs Campos AA played?
- Barra Mansa vs Campos AA is played on August 31, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Estádio Leão do Sul, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.