Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Fylde wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Fylde have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sutton Utd wins, 3 draws, 0 AFC Fylde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | AFC Fylde 1-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sutton Utd 2-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Sutton Utd 2-1 AFC Fylde | FA Cup |
| Dec 10, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Dec 1, 2018 | AFC Fylde 2-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Sutton Utd 0-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Sutton Utd on Mar 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 13th in National League (18 points from 13 matches) and AFC Fylde sit 7th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde played?
- Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.