Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Fylde have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sutton Utd win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 AFC Fylde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | AFC Fylde 1-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sutton Utd 2-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Sutton Utd 2-1 AFC Fylde | FA Cup |
| Dec 10, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Dec 1, 2018 | AFC Fylde 2-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Sutton Utd 0-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Sutton Utd on Mar 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 2nd in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and AFC Fylde sit 13th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde played?
- Sutton Utd vs AFC Fylde is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.