Barrow vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gloucester City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barrow vs Gloucester City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barrow vs Gloucester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Gloucester City
Not enough data to predict the Gloucester City lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mulbarton Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barrow vs Gloucester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barrow vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Barrow vs Gloucester City played?
- Barrow vs Gloucester City is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.