Trefelin vs Barry Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Barry Town?
Barry Town starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Barry Town have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Trefelin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Barry Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | Trefelin 1-2 Barry Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Barry Town 2-1 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Barry Town 3-0 Trefelin | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs Barry Town on Feb 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 2.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Barry Town sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Barry Town?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Barry Town played?
- Trefelin vs Barry Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.