Trefelin vs Barry Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barry Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Barry Town?
Barry Town starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,796).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Barry Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 9J. Crosbie
- 20E. Dugan
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 24W. Richards
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Barry Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Trefelin wins, 0 draws, 3 Barry Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | Trefelin 1-2 Barry Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Barry Town 2-1 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Barry Town 3-0 Trefelin | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs Barry Town on Feb 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 15th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and Barry Town sit 6th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Trefelin vs Barry Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Barry Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Barry Town played?
- Trefelin vs Barry Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.