Barycz Sułów vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Carina Gubin played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Carina Gubin is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSparta Katowice
- Mar 20, 2027Stal BrzegvsKluczbork
- Mar 20, 2027Stilon GorzówvsMiedź Legnica II
- Mar 20, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsWarta Gorzów
- Mar 20, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsROW Rybnik
- Mar 20, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Mar 20, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsSłowianin
- Mar 20, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra