Match

Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina GubinGórnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,717).

Carina Gubin win31 %
Draw24 %
Górnik Polkowice win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Górnik Polkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Kluczbork(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Rakow II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Jan 30, 2026Górnik Polkowice 2-0 Carina GubinFriendlies Clubs
Oct 4, 2025Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 18, 2025Górnik Polkowice 2-1 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 21, 2024Carina Gubin 0-1 Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Feb 10, 2024Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik PolkowiceFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15
Górnik Polkowice2.32.1311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Górnik Polkowice522111108
15Carina Gubin51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice?
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice played?
Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carina Gubin and Górnik Polkowice

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