Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice 2-0 Carina Gubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 2-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Carina Gubin 0-1 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik Polkowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsBarycz Sułów
- Mar 27, 2027ROW RybnikvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Mar 27, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsSparta Katowice
- Mar 27, 2027KluczborkvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Mar 27, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsStal Brzeg
- Mar 27, 2027Warta GorzówvsStilon Gorzów
- Mar 27, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsZagłębie Lubin II
- Mar 27, 2027SłowianinvsŚlęza Wrocław