Zagłębie Lubin II vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 3-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 7, 2022 | Warta Gorzów 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Zagłębie Lubin II 5-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Warta Gorzów is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSparta Katowice
- Mar 20, 2027Stal BrzegvsKluczbork
- Mar 20, 2027Stilon GorzówvsMiedź Legnica II
- Mar 20, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsROW Rybnik
- Mar 20, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Mar 20, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsSłowianin
- Mar 20, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Mar 20, 2027Barycz SułówvsCarina Gubin