Match

Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Barycz SułówGórnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Górnik Polkowice (1,839).

Barycz Sułów win44 %
Draw24 %
Górnik Polkowice win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barycz Sułów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ROW Rybnik(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Kluczbork(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Górnik Polkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Kluczbork(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Rakow II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Barycz Sułów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Barycz Sułów 2-1 Górnik PolkowiceFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barycz Sułów1.61.236/107/10
Górnik Polkowice2.32.1311/1513/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Barycz Sułów531110610
9Górnik Polkowice522111108

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice.
Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice played?
Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barycz Sułów and Górnik Polkowice

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