Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Górnik Polkowice (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Barycz Sułów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barycz Sułów 2-1 Górnik Polkowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026ROW RybnikvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Sep 12, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Sep 12, 2026KluczborkvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 12, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 12, 2026Warta GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Carina GubinvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 12, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 12, 2026SłowianinvsSparta Katowice