Carina Gubin vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin
The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Carina Gubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Carina Gubin 2-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 18, 2024 | Carina Gubin 2-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
- The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
- Carina Gubin vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026ROW RybnikvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Sep 12, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Sep 12, 2026KluczborkvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 12, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 12, 2026Warta GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 12, 2026Barycz SułówvsGórnik Polkowice
- Sep 12, 2026SłowianinvsSparta Katowice