Match

Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Wolibòrz, Wolibórz

SłowianinSparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice?

Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,725).

Słowianin win32 %
Draw27 %
Sparta Katowice win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Słowianin have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Słowianin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026SKRA Częstochowa(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Słowianin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sparta Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Sparta Katowice 1-0 SłowianinIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 18, 2025Słowianin 0-1 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Słowianin on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Słowianin1.21.039/158/15
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sparta Katowice53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin.
Where and when is Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice played?
Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Wolibòrz, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Słowianin and Sparta Katowice

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