Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Wolibòrz, Wolibórz
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Słowianin have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Słowianin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 1-0 Słowianin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Słowianin 0-1 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Słowianin on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Słowianin | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin.
- Where and when is Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Słowianin vs Sparta Katowice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Wolibòrz, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026ROW RybnikvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Sep 12, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Sep 12, 2026KluczborkvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 12, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 12, 2026Warta GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Carina GubinvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 12, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 12, 2026Barycz SułówvsGórnik Polkowice