Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,085 vs 1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alanyaspor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trabzonspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alanyaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alanyaspor 1-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Trabzonspor 0-1 Alanyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Trabzonspor 4-3 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-0 Alanyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Alanyaspor 2-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Alanyaspor sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor played?
- Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.