Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Kasımpaşa (1,921) and Gaziantep FK (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kasımpaşa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Kasımpaşa 4-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 7th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.