Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bashkimi, Kumanovo
The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Bashkimi Kumanovo (1,469) and Aresimi (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Aresimi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aresimi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi 1-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aresimi 1-1 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Aresimi 4-2 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 1-1 Aresimi | First League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Aresimi | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Aresimi 0-1 Bashkimi Kumanovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Aresimi vs Bashkimi Kumanovo on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aresimi score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Aresimi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th in First League (0 points from 4 matches) and Aresimi sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aresimi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi?
- The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi played?
- Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bashkimi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.