Skopje vs Sileks: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Železarnica, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Sileks the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Skopje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skopje vs Sileks?
Sileks starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skopje have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sileks have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| May 31, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Skopje win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sileks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sileks 3-0 Skopje | First League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Sileks 3-1 Skopje | First League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Skopje 0-0 Sileks | First League |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Sileks 3-1 Skopje | First League |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Skopje 2-0 Sileks | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2018 | Skopje 1-1 Sileks | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Skopje score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sileks score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skopje | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sileks | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skopje sit 9th in First League (2 points from 4 matches) and Sileks sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sileks | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Skopje | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skopje vs Sileks?
- The Footlab model makes Sileks the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Skopje.
- Where and when is Skopje vs Sileks played?
- Skopje vs Sileks is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Železarnica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.