Match

Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka: prediction and stats

Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on January 5, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka

Bashundhara KingsMohammedan Dhaka

The Footlab AI model makes Bashundhara Kings the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Mohammedan Dhaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bashundhara Kings wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka?

Bashundhara Kings starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,636 vs 1,510).

56%22%22%
Bashundhara Kings winDrawMohammedan Dhaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bashundhara Kings

4-3-3
  1. 21M. Dangi
  2. 7Rakib Hossain
  3. 10Robinho
  1. 32R. Chand
  2. 8M. Ridoy
  3. 17S. Rana
  1. 15M. T. Uddin
  2. 28M. Yousuf Ali
  3. 3A. Molla
  4. 2S. Tripura
  1. 1M. Srabon

Mohammedan Dhaka

4-3-3
  1. 10S. Diabate
  2. 77A. Hossain
  3. 99S. Emon
  1. 17M. Muzaffarov
  2. 6M. Miah Zoni
  3. 21S. Hossain
  1. 3M. J. Hasan Shanta
  2. 55E. T. Agbaji
  3. 98R. Mia
  4. 22S. Uddin
  1. 23A. Rahman

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bashundhara Kings have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Mohammedan Dhaka have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bashundhara Kings
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026City Club(away)2-0Federation Cup
Oct 16, 2026City Club(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Dhaka Wanderers(home)7-0Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers(away)5-0Federation Cup
Sep 19, 2026Arambagh(away)1-1Premier League
Mohammedan Dhaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026PWD Sports Club(home)1-1Federation Cup
Oct 16, 2026PWD Sports Club(away)2-0Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Arambagh(home)6-0Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Arambagh(home)3-1Federation Cup
Oct 2, 2026Fakirerpool(away)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bashundhara Kings wins, 1 draw, 2 Mohammedan Dhaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2026Bashundhara Kings 3-2 Mohammedan DhakaFederation Cup
Apr 30, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka 1-2 Bashundhara KingsPremier League
Dec 23, 2025Bashundhara Kings 0-0 Mohammedan DhakaFederation Cup
Dec 12, 2025Bashundhara Kings 2-0 Mohammedan DhakaPremier League
Apr 12, 2025Bashundhara Kings 1-2 Mohammedan DhakaPremier League
Dec 6, 2024Mohammedan Dhaka 1-0 Bashundhara KingsPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka on May 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bashundhara Kings score 2.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mohammedan Dhaka score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bashundhara Kings2.80.678/159/15
Mohammedan Dhaka2.50.786/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Bashundhara Kings the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Mohammedan Dhaka.
Where and when is Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka played?
Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka is played on January 5, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the Federation Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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