Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
Hanworth Villa starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hanworth Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Hanworth Villa | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Hanworth Villa 0-4 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa on Mar 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
- The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.