Match

Poole Town vs Uxbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownUxbridge

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Uxbridge?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,819) and Uxbridge (1,819).

Poole Town win45 %
Draw24 %
Uxbridge win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Uxbridge have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Uxbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Taunton Town(home)5-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Havant & Wville(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chippenham Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Poole Town(home)3-3Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Uxbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Uxbridge 3-3 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 13, 2025Poole Town 3-1 UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Uxbridge vs Poole Town on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Uxbridge2.61.3510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Uxbridge sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Uxbridge431010510
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Uxbridge?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Uxbridge.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Uxbridge played?
Poole Town vs Uxbridge is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Poole Town and Uxbridge

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