Sholing vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Sholing (1,802) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sholing win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 1-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Sholing 1-4 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sholing 2-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Sholing | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 1-2 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Sholing on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Sholing vs Basingstoke Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Havant & WvillevsChippenham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Frome TownvsYate Town
- Dec 5, 2026UxbridgevsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 5, 2026Chertsey TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 5, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPoole Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gosport BoroughvsBerkhamsted
- Dec 5, 2026Wimborne TownvsTaunton Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gloucester CityvsChichester City