Yate Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,778) and Gloucester City (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Yate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yate Town 2-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Gloucester City 1-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 16, 2013 | Gloucester City 7-0 Yate Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Yate Town 2-2 Gloucester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Gloucester City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Gloucester City played?
- Yate Town vs Gloucester City is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.