Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,249 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Bastia starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bastia
4-3-3- 7C. Rodrigues
- 29M. Boumaaoui
- 13C. Melieres
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 3H. Makalou
- 10Alexandre Bi Zaouai
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 21N. Douce
- 20G. Akueson
- 2N. Zilliox
- 1T. De Percin
Bourg-en-bresse 01
4-2-3-1- 15T. Ehling
- 8T. Frayssinous
- 22T. Gomes
- 28A. Gharbi
- 14A. Krizoua
- 6R. Souici
- 29Noah Dede-Lhomme
- 5Q. Lacour
- 4A. Dihad
- 25Aymen Sabri
- 1L. Montfort
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Bastia wins, 0 draws, 0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Bastia | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 1-3 Bastia | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 11, 2020 | Bastia 3-1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia sit 13th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 12 matches) and Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18th (6 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Where and when is Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 played?
- Bastia vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Armand-Césari, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.