Concarneau vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concarneau vs Aubagne?
On Elo ratings, Concarneau has 1,837 points and Aubagne 1,750.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Concarneau vs Aubagne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Concarneau
4-2-3-1- 9S. Janno
- 8M. Picouleau
- 24C. Divialle Corbière
- 23L. Goujon
- 18F. Da Silva
- 22B. Macon
- 27J. Halby-Touré
- 5B. Etcheverria
- 6D. Seba
- 15Demba Yatera
- 1V. Viot
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concarneau have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Aubagne have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Concarneau wins, 2 draws, 0 Aubagne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aubagne 1-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Concarneau 1-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Aubagne 1-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Aubagne 0-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Concarneau 0-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Aubagne vs Concarneau on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concarneau score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concarneau | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concarneau sit 3rd in Ligue 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Aubagne sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Concarneau vs Aubagne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concarneau vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Concarneau vs Aubagne played?
- Concarneau vs Aubagne is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.