La Roche VF vs Villefranche: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon
The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Villefranche. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Villefranche?
La Roche VF starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Roche VF vs Villefranche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Roche VF
4-2-3-1- 9M. M. Samb
- 10M. Ndiaye
- 26J. Beaulieu
- 2M. Mahop
- 20Alexis Araújo
- 8K. Bensoula
- 18M. Rabuel
- 29G. Violleau
- 5T. Allemand
- 27H. Lamy
- 1I. Ahamada
Villefranche
3-2-4-1- 9L. Piquionne
- 27A. Diakité
- 7M. Louzif
- 13M. Cachbach
- 10L. Yobé
- 29L. Etoga
- 18R. Laspalles
- 23D. Gassama
- 4M. Tshibuabua
- 31T. Norde
- 1S. Péan
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Roche VF have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Villefranche have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 La Roche VF wins, 1 draw, 0 Villefranche wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villefranche 0-0 La Roche VF | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Villefranche vs La Roche VF on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Roche VF score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villefranche score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Roche VF | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Villefranche | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Roche VF sit 1st in Ligue 3 (21 points from 10 matches) and Villefranche sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 17 | Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
A question about La Roche VF vs Villefranche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Roche VF vs Villefranche?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Villefranche.
- Where and when is La Roche VF vs Villefranche played?
- La Roche VF vs Villefranche is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Henri Desgrange, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.