Gobelins vs Caen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Pelé, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gobelins. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gobelins vs Caen?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Gobelins (1,724) and Caen (1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gobelins vs Caen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gobelins
5-4-1- 11A. Sidibe
- 29N. Donat
- 6I. Camara
- 8O. Bezzekhami
- 22E. Michut
- 5J. Poha
- 19I. Kone
- 20J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
- 18E. Dode
- 24N. Bernardino
- 30A. Temperton
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gobelins have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gobelins win, 1 draw, 2 Caen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caen 2-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Caen 3-4 Gobelins | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gobelins 0-3 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Caen 0-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gobelins score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gobelins | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gobelins sit 11th in Ligue 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and Caen sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
A question about Gobelins vs Caen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gobelins vs Caen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gobelins.
- Where and when is Gobelins vs Caen played?
- Gobelins vs Caen is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Pelé, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.