Match

Bath City vs Frome Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset

Bath CityFrome Town

The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bath City vs Frome Town?

Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,690).

Bath City win27 %
Draw24 %
Frome Town win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Bath City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Frome Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 30, 2024Frome Town 0-5 Bath CityFriendlies Clubs
Oct 2, 2021Bath City 5-0 Frome TownFA Cup
Jul 6, 2021Frome Town 1-4 Bath CityFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Bath City on Jul 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bath City1.21.928/1510/15
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
7Frome Town4202736

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Frome Town?
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City.
Where and when is Bath City vs Frome Town played?
Bath City vs Frome Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bath City and Frome Town

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