Bath City vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Frome Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Bath City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Frome Town 0-5 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Bath City 5-0 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Frome Town 1-4 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Bath City on Jul 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Frome Town played?
- Bath City vs Frome Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Havant & WvillevsChichester City
- Jan 2, 2027Taunton TownvsYate Town
- Jan 2, 2027Bracknell TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Jan 2, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanworth Villa
- Jan 2, 2027Evesham UnitedvsGloucester City
- Jan 2, 2027Hanwell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 2, 2027Gosport BoroughvsSholing
- Jan 2, 2027Poole TownvsPlymouth Parkway