Match

Bath City vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset

Bath CityGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bath City vs Gloucester City?

Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,705).

Bath City win30 %
Draw24 %
Gloucester City win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bath City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2022Gloucester City 3-1 Bath CityFriendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2021Bath City 3-3 Gloucester CityFriendlies Clubs
Dec 2, 2014Bath City 3-1 Gloucester CityFA Trophy
Nov 30, 2014Gloucester City 0-0 Bath CityFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Bath City on Jul 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bath City1.31.929/1510/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bath City.
Where and when is Bath City vs Gloucester City played?
Bath City vs Gloucester City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bath City and Gloucester City

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