Bath City vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Gloucester City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bath City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2022 | Gloucester City 3-1 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Bath City 3-3 Gloucester City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Bath City 3-1 Gloucester City | FA Trophy |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Gloucester City 0-0 Bath City | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Bath City on Jul 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Gloucester City played?
- Bath City vs Gloucester City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Taunton TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 6, 2027Frome TownvsMalvern Town
- Feb 6, 2027UxbridgevsSholing
- Feb 6, 2027Basingstoke TownvsBerkhamsted
- Feb 6, 2027Chertsey TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 6, 2027Chichester CityvsBracknell Town
- Feb 6, 2027Poole TownvsChippenham Town
- Feb 6, 2027Wimborne TownvsHanwell Town