Match

Baunatal vs Hadamar: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal

BaunatalHadamar

The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Baunatal vs Hadamar?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,764) and Hadamar (1,706).

Baunatal win38 %
Draw25 %
Hadamar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hadamar have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Baunatal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Kassel(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026FC Gießen(home)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Hadamar(away)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Hadamar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Friedberg(away)3-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(home)4-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026FC Gießen(away)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Baunatal(home)2-1Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Baunatal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hadamar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Hadamar 2-1 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen
Mar 25, 2023Baunatal 4-1 HadamarOberliga - Hessen
Sep 10, 2022Hadamar 0-3 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Hadamar vs Baunatal on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hadamar score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Baunatal1.51.9310/158/15
Hadamar2.22.168/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Baunatal sit 16th in Oberliga - Hessen (2 points from 5 matches) and Hadamar sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Hadamar532013811
16Baunatal5023492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Hadamar?
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar.
Where and when is Baunatal vs Hadamar played?
Baunatal vs Hadamar is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Baunatal and Hadamar

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