Match

Friedberg vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)

FriedbergHummetroth

The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Friedberg vs Hummetroth?

Friedberg starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,684).

Friedberg win52 %
Draw21 %
Hummetroth win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Friedberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hadamar(home)0-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Kassel(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Eddersheim(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Hummetroth(away)4-2Oberliga - Hessen
Hummetroth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Alzenau(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)0-5Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(home)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 9, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Friedberg(home)2-4Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Friedberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hummetroth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Hummetroth 2-4 FriedbergOberliga - Hessen
May 30, 2026Hummetroth 2-2 FriedbergOberliga - Hessen
Nov 8, 2025Friedberg 2-0 HummetrothOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Hummetroth vs Friedberg on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Friedberg1.82.139/1510/15
Hummetroth1.92.6013/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Friedberg5221778
17Hummetroth50145151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Hummetroth?
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hummetroth.
Where and when is Friedberg vs Hummetroth played?
Friedberg vs Hummetroth is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Friedberg and Hummetroth

Ready to know everything about football?