Friedberg vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Hummetroth?
Friedberg starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Friedberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hummetroth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth 2-4 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 30, 2026 | Hummetroth 2-2 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Friedberg 2-0 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Hummetroth vs Friedberg on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Hummetroth?
- The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Hummetroth played?
- Friedberg vs Hummetroth is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026BaunatalvsHadamar
- Nov 28, 2026Bayern AlzenauvsVfb Marburg
- Nov 28, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsFernwald
- Nov 28, 2026Hünfelder SVvs1960 Hanau
- Nov 28, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsKassel
- Nov 28, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Nov 29, 2026Kassel 2vsFC Gießen
- Nov 29, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsEddersheim