Bayreuth vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, Bayreuth
The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayreuth vs Aubstadt?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Bayreuth (1,824) and Aubstadt (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayreuth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bayreuth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Aubstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Aubstadt 4-0 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bayreuth 2-3 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bayreuth 3-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Aubstadt 0-0 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Aubstadt 2-2 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Bayreuth 2-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayreuth sit 10th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayreuth vs Aubstadt?
- The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Bayreuth vs Aubstadt played?
- Bayreuth vs Aubstadt is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 15, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsBuchbach
- Sep 15, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsIllertissen
- Sep 15, 2026Bayern München IIvsAugsburg II
- Sep 15, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsTSV 1860 München
- Sep 15, 2026MemmingenvsWacker Burghausen
- Sep 15, 2026Nürnberg IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 15, 2026EltersdorfvsEichstätt
- Sep 15, 2026VilzingvsAnsbach