Match

FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Willy-Sachs-Stadion, Schweinfurt

FC Schweinfurt 05Illertissen

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Schweinfurt 05. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen?

Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,771).

FC Schweinfurt 05 win24 %
Draw24 %
Illertissen win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schweinfurt 05 have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schweinfurt 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vilzing(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Bayreuth(home)2-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026Bayern München II(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026Aubstadt(away)1-5Regionalliga - Bayern
Illertissen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Bayreuth(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Landsberg(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(home)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Eichstätt(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Schweinfurt 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Illertissen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2025FC Schweinfurt 05 1-0 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 30, 2024Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern
Apr 13, 2024FC Schweinfurt 05 0-2 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 30, 2023Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern
Feb 18, 2023FC Schweinfurt 05 1-2 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 9, 2022Illertissen 4-3 FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schweinfurt 05 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schweinfurt 051.42.0212/159/15
Illertissen2.30.976/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schweinfurt 05 sit 8th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Illertissen532012411
8FC Schweinfurt 055221798

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen?
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Schweinfurt 05.
Where and when is FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen played?
FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Willy-Sachs-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Schweinfurt 05 and Illertissen

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