FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Willy-Sachs-Stadion, Schweinfurt
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Schweinfurt 05. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schweinfurt 05 have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Schweinfurt 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Schweinfurt 05 1-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Schweinfurt 05 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Feb 18, 2023 | FC Schweinfurt 05 1-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Illertissen 4-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Schweinfurt 05 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Schweinfurt 05 sit 8th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Schweinfurt 05.
- Where and when is FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen played?
- FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Willy-Sachs-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 15, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsBuchbach
- Sep 15, 2026Bayern München IIvsAugsburg II
- Sep 15, 2026BayreuthvsAubstadt
- Sep 15, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsTSV 1860 München
- Sep 15, 2026MemmingenvsWacker Burghausen
- Sep 15, 2026Nürnberg IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 15, 2026EltersdorfvsEichstätt
- Sep 15, 2026VilzingvsAnsbach