Greuther Fürth II vs TSV 1860 München: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greuther Fürth II vs TSV 1860 München?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Greuther Fürth II (1,813) and TSV 1860 München (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greuther Fürth II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; TSV 1860 München have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greuther Fürth II sit 16th in Regionalliga - Bayern (3 points from 5 matches) and TSV 1860 München sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greuther Fürth II vs TSV 1860 München?
- The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greuther Fürth II.
- Where and when is Greuther Fürth II vs TSV 1860 München played?
- Greuther Fürth II vs TSV 1860 München is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.