Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach played?

SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching

SpVgg Unterhaching

Buchbach

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate SpVgg Unterhaching (1,920) and Buchbach (1,861).

SpVgg Unterhaching win63 %

Draw21 %

Buchbach win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Unterhaching
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Illertissen(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026	Eltersdorf(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 25, 2026	Greuther Fürth II(home)	1-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Buchbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ansbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Aubstadt(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Eichstätt(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Buchbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	SpVgg Unterhaching 0-1 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Sep 19, 2025	Buchbach 1-1 SpVgg Unterhaching	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 22, 2025	Buchbach 0-6 SpVgg Unterhaching	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 31, 2023	SpVgg Unterhaching 3-2 Buchbach	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 5, 2022	SpVgg Unterhaching 2-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 14, 2022	Buchbach 1-3 SpVgg Unterhaching	Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Unterhaching	2.1	1.3	6	5/15	11/15
Buchbach	1.9	2.1	3	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	5	3	2	0	12	4	11
11	SpVgg Unterhaching	4	2	1	1	3	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach?: The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Buchbach.
Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach played?: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.