Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra: prediction and stats
Third League - NorthwestNorthwest - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Vidin
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Mezdra the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bdin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra?
Lokomotiv Mezdra starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,626 vs 1,507).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bdin have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv Mezdra have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yantra Polski Trambesh(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Pavlikeni(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 16, 2026 | Kom Berkovitsa(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv Mezdra(home) | 1-4 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 2, 2026 | Juventus Malchika(away) | 8-2 | Third League - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevlievo(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Partizan(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 16, 2026 | Akademik Svishtov(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 9, 2026 | Bdin(away) | 4-1 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 2, 2026 | OFK Levski(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bdin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lokomotiv Mezdra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Bdin 1-4 Lokomotiv Mezdra | Third League - Northwest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Lokomotiv Mezdra 3-2 Bdin | Third League - Northwest |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lokomotiv Mezdra 1-2 Bdin | Third League - Northwest |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Bdin 1-2 Lokomotiv Mezdra | Third League - Northwest |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Lokomotiv Mezdra 1-3 Bdin | Third League - Northwest |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Bdin 2-1 Lokomotiv Mezdra | Third League - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bdin score 2.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Mezdra score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bdin | 2.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Lokomotiv Mezdra | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bdin sit 4th in Third League - Northwest (43 points from 22 matches) and Lokomotiv Mezdra sit 1st (58 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 22 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 62 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | Bdin | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 57 | 25 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Mezdra the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bdin.
- Where and when is Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra played?
- Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.