Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven II: prediction and stats
Third League - NorthwestNorthwest - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rakovski, Sevlievo
The Footlab model makes Sevlievo the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Spartak Pleven II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven II?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Sevlievo (1,556) and Spartak Pleven II (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevlievo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spartak Pleven II have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Mezdra(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 3-2 | Second League |
| May 15, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 1-4 | Second League |
| May 11, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 2, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chavdar Troyan(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Sevlievo score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven II score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevlievo | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Pleven II | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevlievo | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 19 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven II?
- The Footlab model makes Sevlievo the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Spartak Pleven II.
- Where and when is Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven II played?
- Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rakovski, in the Third League - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.