Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni: prediction and stats
Third League - NorthwestNorthwest - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion
The Footlab model makes Chavdar Troyan the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Pavlikeni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Chavdar Troyan (1,472) and Pavlikeni (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Troyan have 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Pavlikeni have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Pleven II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northwest |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Kariana Erden(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Pavlikeni(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Botev Lukovit(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | OFK Levski(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Bdin(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 16, 2026 | OFK Levski(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 9, 2026 | Troyan 2025(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northwest |
| May 2, 2026 | Yantra Polski Trambesh(home) | 6-2 | Third League - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chavdar Troyan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pavlikeni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2020 | Chavdar Troyan 3-0 Pavlikeni | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni on Sep 16, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Chavdar Troyan score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Pavlikeni score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar Troyan | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Pavlikeni | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pavlikeni | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
- The Footlab model makes Chavdar Troyan the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Pavlikeni.
- Where and when is Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni played?
- Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.