BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kinjor Field, Kinjor Town
The Footlab AI model makes BEA Mountain the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Black Man Warrior. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior?
BEA Mountain starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,450).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BEA Mountain
Not enough data to predict the BEA Mountain lineup.
Black Man Warrior
Not enough data to predict the Black Man Warrior lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BEA Mountain have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Black Man Warrior have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Discoveries(away) | 2-1 | LFA First Division |
| May 18, 2026 | Borough(home) | 4-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 5, 2026 | LISCR(home) | 3-1 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Downtown(home) | 4-1 | LFA First Division |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Watanga(away) | 2-4 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Wologizi(away) | 2-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 14, 2026 | Gardnersville(away) | 0-1 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Fassell(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Freeport(home) | 0-0 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Discoveries(away) | 0-2 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 BEA Mountain wins, 2 draws, 0 Black Man Warrior wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | BEA Mountain 2-0 Black Man Warrior | LFA First Division |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Black Man Warrior 1-1 BEA Mountain | LFA First Division |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Black Man Warrior 3-3 BEA Mountain | LFA First Division |
| Dec 11, 2024 | BEA Mountain 5-0 Black Man Warrior | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BEA Mountain score 2.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Black Man Warrior score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEA Mountain | 2.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Black Man Warrior | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BEA Mountain sit 2nd in LFA First Division (55 points from 27 matches) and Black Man Warrior sit 13th (21 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BEA Mountain | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 22 | 55 |
| 13 | Black Man Warrior | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 28 | 21 |
A question about BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior?
- The Footlab AI model makes BEA Mountain the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Black Man Warrior.
- Where and when is BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior played?
- BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior is played on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kinjor Field, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.