Black Man Warrior vs Fassell: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)D. Tweh Field, Monrovia
The Footlab AI model makes Fassell the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Black Man Warrior. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Black Man Warrior vs Fassell?
Fassell starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Black Man Warrior vs Fassell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Black Man Warrior
Not enough data to predict the Black Man Warrior lineup.
Fassell
Not enough data to predict the Fassell lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Black Man Warrior have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Fassell have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BEA Mountain(away) | 0-2 | LFA First Division |
| May 19, 2026 | Wologizi(away) | 2-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 14, 2026 | Gardnersville(away) | 0-1 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Fassell(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Freeport(home) | 0-0 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | District 17(home) | 1-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Borough(home) | 3-2 | LFA First Division |
| May 13, 2026 | Watanga(home) | 0-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Paynesville(away) | 3-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Black Man Warrior(home) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Black Man Warrior wins, 2 draws, 2 Fassell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fassell 1-1 Black Man Warrior | LFA First Division |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Black Man Warrior 0-0 Fassell | LFA First Division |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Black Man Warrior 1-2 Fassell | LFA First Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Fassell 2-1 Black Man Warrior | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: Fassell vs Black Man Warrior on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Black Man Warrior score 0.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fassell score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Man Warrior | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Fassell | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Black Man Warrior sit 13th in LFA First Division (21 points from 27 matches) and Fassell sit 3rd (53 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fassell | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 53 |
| 13 | Black Man Warrior | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 28 | 21 |
A question about Black Man Warrior vs Fassell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Black Man Warrior vs Fassell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fassell the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Black Man Warrior.
- Where and when is Black Man Warrior vs Fassell played?
- Black Man Warrior vs Fassell is played on October 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at D. Tweh Field, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.