BEA Mountain vs Fassell: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kinjor Field, Kinjor Town
The Footlab AI model makes BEA Mountain the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Fassell. The most likely score is 1-1. If BEA Mountain wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BEA Mountain vs Fassell?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate BEA Mountain (1,707) and Fassell (1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BEA Mountain vs Fassell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BEA Mountain
Not enough data to predict the BEA Mountain lineup.
Fassell
Not enough data to predict the Fassell lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 06:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BEA Mountain have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Fassell have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Black Man Warrior(home) | 2-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Discoveries(away) | 2-1 | LFA First Division |
| May 18, 2026 | Borough(home) | 4-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 5, 2026 | LISCR(home) | 3-1 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Downtown(home) | 4-1 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | District 17(home) | 1-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Borough(home) | 3-2 | LFA First Division |
| May 13, 2026 | Watanga(home) | 0-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Paynesville(away) | 3-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Black Man Warrior(home) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 BEA Mountain win, 1 draw, 2 Fassell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Fassell 0-1 BEA Mountain | LFA First Division |
| Dec 11, 2025 | BEA Mountain 0-0 Fassell | LFA First Division |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Fassell 3-2 BEA Mountain | LFA First Division |
| Oct 16, 2024 | BEA Mountain 0-3 Fassell | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: Fassell vs BEA Mountain on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BEA Mountain score 2.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fassell score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEA Mountain | 2.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fassell | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BEA Mountain sit 2nd in LFA First Division (55 points from 27 matches) and Fassell sit 3rd (53 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BEA Mountain | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 22 | 55 |
| 3 | Fassell | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 53 |
A question about BEA Mountain vs Fassell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BEA Mountain vs Fassell?
- The Footlab AI model makes BEA Mountain the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Fassell.
- Where and when is BEA Mountain vs Fassell played?
- BEA Mountain vs Fassell is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kinjor Field, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.